trend

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Trapped Radiation ENvironment model Development

Electron Radiation Belt Forecasting

Electron flux at L=4.5

First panel:
blue curve, prediction of an Ap15-dependent model for 1.0 < E < 2.2 MeV electron flux based on Strv-1b/REM data;
magenta curve, prediction of NASA model AE-8 for 1.0 < E < 2.2 MeV electron flux;
dotted red curve, prediction of DERA model FLUMIC for 1.0 < E < 2.2 MeV electron flux;
grey curves, predictions of PLGD model CRRESELE for 1.0 < E < 2.2 MeV electron flux;
Second panel:
thick black curve, NOAA prediction of the magnetic activity index Ap;
magenta curve, extrapolated Ap15, 15-day average of dayly Ap.
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